Articles from rubric: «Mathematical methods of forecasting»
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2020 № 1 Methods of Modelling and Prediction of Surgery Duration
Based on the analysis of foreign publications, a comparative characteristic of methods and models of prediction
of surgical operations duration was carried out. The importance of estimating the accuracy of prediction the duration of
operations for effective planning of the use of operating rooms and high-tech equipment is shown. Analyzed statistical and
regression methods to predict the duration of operations, and the use of artificial neural networks to estimate the duration
of an operation. Mathematical expressions are given, allowing to estimate duration of operation as a whole, as well as data
on prediction errors. -
2015 № 1 Scorecards in medicine: analytic review.
The mathematical models of pathological processes and conditions, and systems of assessment various indexes created on their basis — scorecards (SC) are analyzed. The basic methods used to creation of scorecards in medicine for extraction previously unknown knowledge from large data sets — from classical statistics and data mining are resulted. Some organizational — methodological problems of realization SC in healthcare are analyzed.